Swimming Blogs - Chris DeSantis


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Day 2 DeSantis

Chris DeSantis | Profile
August 6, 2008

Looks like I really stirred things up with round one. I'm sorry if some of my rationale's came off a bit cavalier. To be honest, I decided this time around that I would make a few emotional picks even though my rational strategy worked last time.

Jeff, the quality of your Canadian support rings true. I was so scared that I tried to anticipate your moves by hunting down Jeff Rouse to counteract the possibility of Mark Tewksbury posting for you. Unfortunately, Rouse was unavailable.

Day 2 picks!

Women's 100 fly:

1. Libby Trickett

2. Jessica Schipper

3. Jemma Lowe

Rationale: I'm hoping that Libby wins this in world record time. Then, I won't have to look at Inge De Bruijn's name on the world record list anymore. Nothing against Inge, but her name always gave me fits and Trickett really just roles off the tongue. Schipper seems like a clear second and has the best back half in the field. I picked Lowe for third for two reasons. First, I like the name Jemma, and she even has a teammate named Gemma to spice things up. Second, she's a swimmer on the rise who has dropped a lot of time in the last year.

Men's 100 Breaststroke

1. Alexander Dale Oen

2. Brendan Hansen

3. Kosuke Kitajima

Rationale: I think I said it so many times at trials that Garrett's ears are still bleeding: breaststroke is the hardest stroke to be consistent in. This is an event that always seems to have an upset, from Kitajima's minor one four years ago to the sudden emergence of Domenico Fioravanti. There wasn't anyone Danish to pick so I went with a Norwegian, another name I'd like to here Rowdy Gaines repeat. If I was picking purely with my heart I would go with Hansen and have Kitajima miss the semi-final, but these guys are too good to get beat by the likes of Rickard or Cook. I left Dubosq off because he medaled four years ago and almost no one medals in back to back games in breaststrokes. Kitajima and Hansen will make history just not the kind they would like to.

Women's 400 Freestyle:

1. Federica Pellegrini

2. Katie Hoff

3. Kate Ziegler

Rationale: Manadou is the European female who gets the most attention but Pellegrini has deserved it more this year. The only woman to have been 4:01 has had months to get primed for this race and should be racing with confidence. Hoff should come home strong but may be a little more taxed than Pellegrini even though its only Day 2. I honestly think we didn't see the best of Ziegler in Omaha, she looked tired and her legs were heavy. If she's got a little leg drive coming home, she could mow more than a few swimmers down the last lap.

Men's 4x100

1. USA

2. France

3. South Africa

Rationale: Swim fans across American can breath a sigh of relief when team USA brings the gold home in this event. Just recently things were looking grim. Remember last summer when Dave Walters won nationals with a 48.9? Then France dropped bomb after bomb with huge time drops from all of their sprinters. Fortunately for the US, Cullen Jones got his mojo back, Garrett Weber-Gale decided to arrive, and Jason Lezak aged like fine wine. Toss in a little Michael Phelps and I predict the US will be 3:10 in this event. France will come up just short and will have to be on their toes to beat defending champ South Africa. While Ryk Neethling and Roland Schoeman haven't looked as sharp as in years past, I think they will swim surprisingly well in Beijing and Gideon Louw gives them another serious log to throw on the fire.



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faul7 posted August 11 at 3:26pm.
I knew she could do it after her 4:02 at the British Champs just a few weeks ago in July. I wish I had money on it :(
Chris DeSantis posted August 11 at 12:33pm.
Definitely very right. Turns out she was the one British swimmer I overlooked! Shame on me.
Irish posted August 11 at 11:48am.
Was I right about Rebecca Adlington or what? :D
Lady Owl posted August 11 at 10:22am.
Pelligrini not winning was a big shocker. Overall, the 400 FR final was much slower than it should have been. I was expecting someone to get close or break 4:00. Oh well.
Another dissapointment for Hansen. Maybe he can redeem himself in the 400 Medley Relay.
Guess being a viking does help.
Jason Marsteller posted August 9 at 2:43pm.
I take it back. Chris "The Executioner" DeSantis may just have made a strong early play in the 100 breast. Blew my mind while covering it this morning!
Steve Allnutt posted August 9 at 1:41pm.
Nice pick on Dale Oen, 59.41 to lead prelims, but did he show his hand too early?
Go Usa posted August 8 at 9:23pm.
anyone else here see bernard's comment about how his french will smash the usa in the 400 free relay? pretty gutsy call by him
Cat posted August 8 at 5:33pm.
Katie or kate may go home without a medal Becky Adlington is incredible
And yes Jemma lowe medal please she swims at my club/my squad albeit shes a lot better than me LOL
Alex posted August 8 at 7:50am.
Well Dale Oen is the european record holder.. So i guess that is why he was picked?
I think the 400 free for women is to open to predict.
There are 6 people fighting for gold, and i think there will be more than 3 under 4 min.
Mish posted August 8 at 12:52am.
like your picks chris esp..you rational for the womens 100m fly and also putting south africa into the loop in the 100m relay..tho I am not too convinced by third place in mens 100m breast...guess time will tell :)
Irish posted August 7 at 11:10am.
Rebecca Adlington on GB to win a medal in the Women's 400m Freestyle, sorry but an American will be disappointed in this event.
Jleigh posted August 7 at 8:42am.
Ran across your blog looking for good Olympic predictions -- I appreciate you including your rationale! I play an online (fake money) prediction market which might be a good place for you guys to compete with your predictions. You can pick the gold medalist in each of the events and then see who gets the most right. http://www.hubdub.com/tag/olympic_swimming

I'm curious to see where you go with the Men's 100 fly!
Anonymous Coward posted August 6 at 11:34pm.
France will get only a bronze on that relay, It´s gonna be USA, AUS, FRA.
And Cielo will start the week with a 47.4 lead-off to break the WR.

I like your 400 free picks. Federica is just hotter than Manadou, that´s why she´ll take it.
100 Br: Japanese semi-midget takes the gold, Hansen silver, Rickard bronze.
100 Fly: Gold Schipper - Silver Trickett - Bronze will go to some Japanese chick I forgot the name.
Lady Owl posted August 6 at 8:50pm.
100 Fly: Trickett and Schipper take top honors with Lowe being a good choice for 3rd, but watch for Dekker/Magnuson with no Coughlin in the field.
100 Breast: Brendan "Man on a Mission" Hansen wins gold with Kitajima in a close second. For 3rd, Rickard finally breaks the minute barrier, with possibly 5 guys or more going under. While being a viking may help, a 1:01.67 for 8th in Melbourne doesn't.
400 Free: Pelligrini, Hoff, and not to count out the defending Olympic champion Manadou with an eye out on Jedrzejczak, the Aussies, and Adlington for the Brits.
4x100: Battle to the death between US and France . . . with a distant 3rd up for grabs, hopefully by South Africa.
Anonymous Coward posted August 6 at 7:36pm.
hahaha nice comment desantis
Chris Meyers posted August 6 at 6:41pm.
breaststroke is the upset stroke. you can't get it right every day! i can see hansen and kitajima to go 2nd and 3rd but i don't know about dale oen.
Chris DeSantis posted August 6 at 6:29pm.
Look Jason, socialized medicine can go a long way towards keeping those breaststroke knees healthy! Plus he's a Viking!
Jason Marsteller posted August 6 at 6:20pm.
Chris "Smoking Pot" DeSantis. Dale Oen?
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Chris DeSantis is the Assistant Men's and Women's Swimming Coach at the University of Pennsylvania. In his spare time, he's trying to learn everything about swimming. Got a complaint, correction or suggestion? Post a comment or send him a message and expect a speedy response!
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